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2024-12-13 04:52:19

Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."Russian Presidential Press Secretary: Russia supports the exchange of prisoners of war between Russia and Ukraine proposed by Hungarian Prime Minister. On December 12, local time, Russian Presidential Press Secretary peskov said that Hungarian Prime Minister Orban proposed the exchange of prisoners of war between the two sides and a ceasefire during the New Year holiday on the 11th. The Russian side has submitted the Russian proposal for prisoner exchange to the Hungarian Embassy in Russia. Judging from Zelensky's reaction, the Ukrainian side rejected all Orban's proposals. Peskov emphasized that Russia supports Orban's proposal and the settlement of humanitarian issues related to the exchange of prisoners of war. (CCTV News)According to the medical report, Brazilian President Lula is still in the intensive care unit after undergoing brain surgery, and he will undergo another operation on Thursday morning local time.


Brazil's Vale said it had reached an agreement with the US Department of Energy to provide financing of $282.9 million for the Louisiana plant until 2031.Erdogan, Turkey: Thanks to the leaders of Somalia and Ethiopia for achieving historical reconciliation.The Israeli army said it had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon. On the evening of 11th local time, the Israel Defense Forces announced that according to the ceasefire agreement reached with Hezbollah in Lebanon, the troops had withdrawn from the Shyam area in southern Lebanon that morning, and Lebanese Armed Forces soldiers would be deployed in the area together with the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon. The Israeli military says it is still deployed in other parts of southern Lebanon and will continue to fight any threat.


Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)National Bank of Canada: cut the benchmark interest rate by 50 basis points to 5.45%.Hengdian Dongci: It is planned to transfer 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary Dongshang New Energy for 500 million yuan. Hengdian Dongci announced that according to the company's strategic development plan, it is planned to sell 100% equity of its wholly-owned subsidiary Lianyungang Ganyu Dongshang New Energy Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Dongshang New Energy") to Zhejiang New Energy Investment Group Co., Ltd. (referred to as "Zhejiang Xinneng"), and the equity transfer price is about 500 million yuan (finally, the power generation income during the net assets deduction period on the delivery date is calculated as) After the completion of this transaction, Dongshang New Energy will no longer be included in the scope of the company's consolidated statements, which is expected to increase the company's total profit and cash flow in 2024.

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